Liberty
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 68.4328Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Maine 28- 7 906 A Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 24-34 913 A Bowl. Green MIDA ( 4- 8, 64.0) 13-23 920 H J Madison SUN (12- 2, 84.2) 13-31 927 A Old Dominion SUN (10- 3, 81.6) 7-21 1008 A UTEP CUSA ( 2-10, 61.8) 19- 8 1014 H NM St CUSA ( 4- 8, 65.1) 30-27 1101 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 59-30 1108 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 17-21 1115 A Florida Intl CUSA ( 7- 6, 70.8) 27-34 1122 A La Tech CUSA ( 8- 5, 75.6) 28-34 1129 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10- 4, 73.9) 42-48
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
906 A Jacksonv. St 24-34 -10 -10 -0.44
913 A Bowl. Green 13-23 -10 -1 --- -9.21
920 H J Madison 13-31 -18 -10 - -3.53
927 A Old Dominion 7-21 -14 -18 0.00
1008 A UTEP 19- 8 11 1 +++ 9.67
1014 H NM St 30-27 3 9 -- -5.61
1101 H Delaware 59-30 29 3 +++ 10.79
1108 H Missouri St 17-21 -4 3 --- -7.36
1115 A Florida Intl 27-34 -7 -8 0.60
1122 A La Tech 28-34 -6 -12 +++ 6.46
1129 H Kennesaw St 42-48 -6 0 -- -5.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Bowl. Green 13-23 -10 -1 --- -9.21 1108 H Missouri St 17-21 -4 3 --- -7.36 1014 H NM St 30-27 3 9 -- -5.61 1129 H Kennesaw St 42-48 -6 0 -- -5.76 920 H J Madison 13-31 -18 -10 - -3.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1008 A UTEP 19- 8 11 1 +++ 9.67 1101 H Delaware 59-30 29 3 +++ 10.79 1122 A La Tech 28-34 -6 -12 +++ 6.46 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 24-34 -27.17 24.05 5.26 1.16 -12.70
3 A Bowl. Green ( 4- 8, 64.0) 13-23 -35.94 15.28 5.26 1.16 -17.78
3 H J Madison (12- 2, 84.2) 13-31 -15.74 35.48 -5.26 1.16 -12.17
3 A Old Dominion (10- 3, 81.6) 7-21 -18.33 32.89 5.26 1.16 -7.57
3 A UTEP ( 2-10, 61.8) 19- 8 -38.06 13.16 5.26 1.16 42.70
3 H NM St ( 4- 8, 65.1) 30-27 -34.81 16.41 -5.26 1.16 25.84
3 H Delaware ( 7- 6, 70.5) 59-30 -29.42 21.80 -5.26 1.16 38.34
3 H Missouri St ( 7- 6, 70.3) 17-21 -29.57 21.65 -5.26 1.16 -20.18
3 A Florida Intl ( 7- 6, 70.8) 27-34 -29.13 22.09 5.26 1.16 -13.83
3 A La Tech ( 8- 5, 75.6) 28-34 -24.27 26.95 5.26 1.16 -11.02
3 H Kennesaw St (10- 4, 73.9) 42-48 -25.97 25.25 -5.26 1.16 -18.10
------
-6.47
|
winning pts = 106.8836 losing points = -113.3520
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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